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Clinical Trials/NCT05939869
NCT05939869RecruitingNot Applicable

Use of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Urban Asian Indians

Diabetes Foundation, India1 site in 1 country500 target enrollmentStarted: July 1, 2023Last updated:
Conditions

Trial Snapshot

Phase
Not Applicable
Status
Recruiting
Enrollment
500
Locations
1
Primary Endpoint
Risk of CVD Event

Study Overview

Brief Summary

The Investigators are recruiting T2DM patients (n, 500) from Fortis-CDOC Hospital.

Patients' weight, BMI, lipid profile, liver and kidney function tests, EGG, glycemic parameters, blood pressure, etc. will be entered in MS Excel sheets and appropriate data coding will be performed. Additional information on sleep hygiene, self-perceived stress, environmental pollution, and socio-economic status (education, occupation, and family annual income) will be collected by phone interviews. The entered data will be filtered for outliers and missing data will be excluded from the final data sheet.

Johns Hopkins Team will perform the following:

  1. Mediation and moderation analysis,
  2. Machine Learning methods
  3. Deep Learning and Neural Networks to devise prediction models for different metrics, including diabetes, blood pressure, and lipid control.
  4. Traditional statistics like Propensity Score Matching and Multivariate Linear Regression

Data pre-processing The data pre-processing will be performed to standardize the variables and minimize the impact of non-normality. During this step, the raw data would be converted into appropriate transformations. Python and R programming will be used for AI and machine learning methods.

Data analysis Our research collaborators are well versed in techniques like multi-fold cross-validation, Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique for Nominal and Continuous (SMOTE-NC), a widely used technique for balancing the observations only in the training dataset and not in the testing dataset, and hyper tuning of parameters. For our research, we would require a graphic processing unit (GPU) to perform high-quality and fast computing (especially important when analyzing large data sets through neural networks and machine learning). We have an understanding with ORACLE (a large software giant), for providing GPUs at no cost on a lease basis on the submission of a feasible proposal.

Key Milestones Expected

  • During the initial three months of the study, the plan is to obtain all requisite permissions for data gathering from the Institutional Ethics Review Committees of the respective institutions. The research assistant would be recruited from FORTIS-CDOC Hospital.
  • Over the next 12 months, there will be data tabulation and gathering
  • The last 3-4 months will be allocated to data analysis, application of AI algorithms (using training and testing datasets), and reporting of the data (meetings and manuscripts)

Detailed Description

AI is a term that encapsulates machine learning (ML), deep learning, supervised learning, unsupervised learning, artificial neural networks (ANNs), and convolutional neural networks (CNNs). An essential component of AI, ML, is being increasingly used in health care applications, since it is an interdisciplinary field which uses techniques to enable computers to examine data sets without explicit programming. ML involves development of a model or algorithm by careful extraction of essential features from the training data which is used for testing purpose. Test data is utilized for making predictions about research problems. ML can be effectively summarized as: feature extraction, selection of technique for data analysis, training of the new model and evaluation of its efficacy, and making predictions using the trained model. Supervised and unsupervised learning are forms of machine learning. In supervised learning, known data sets are used to understand the patterns in data sets, whereas in unsupervised learning, unlabeled data sets are used to understand the data.

Deep learning structures use numerous layers of computation. DL is mainly used for processing large and raw data sets. In ANN, multiple machine learning algorithms work together and process data inputs, but in CNN, hidden nodes exist in layers for information, complex data, and image processing. With rapid advancement in AI, ML, and DL, computer programs can effectively simulate neural activity of the brain's neocortex where reasoning, thinking, and cognitive functions take place at a fast pace.

In the domain of cardiovascular medicine, AI has extensive applications in drug therapy, pharmacogenomics, heart failure, imaging studies, and diagnostics. Importantly, AI has the ability to provide mechanisms to apply precision medicine and big data in medicine while enhancing the effectiveness of treatment regimen advised by the cardiologist. Further, AI/ML algorithms can analyze data without assumptions for prediction and classification purposes. Thus, cardiovascular medicine can benefit remarkably from the incorporation and judicious utilization of AI.

Cardiometabolic disorders (CMDs) including myocardial infarction, stroke, and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), are linked with an increased morbidity and mortality, and it is known that an individual's lifestyle and level of exercise are significant risk factors for CVD. This is especially true for patients who spend considerable periods of time doing sedentary work, have limited mobility, or find it challenging to sustain acceptable amounts of exercise, let alone reach the moderate-to-vigorous levels advised for cardiometabolic health.

Asian Indians are one of the largest growing ethnic groups in the world and have one of the highest rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD), including T2DM coronary artery disease (including major adverse cardiovascular events or MACE). Several causes of CVD have been identified, such as adoption of western dietary patterns and habits, genetic predisposition, imbalance in lipoproteins, and abdominal obesity. Certain perinatal influences are also regarded as possible contributors.

Study Design

Study Type
Observational
Observational Model
Cohort
Time Perspective
Retrospective

Eligibility Criteria

Ages
25 Years to 80 Years (Adult, Older Adult)
Sex
All
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Yes

Inclusion Criteria

  • Not provided

Exclusion Criteria

  • Genetic Diabetes
  • Gestational Diabetes
  • Terminal Illness (Cancer)

Outcomes

Primary Outcomes

Risk of CVD Event

Time Frame: 5 years

How many T2DM patients will get MI or Stroke within next five years.

Secondary Outcomes

No secondary outcomes reported

Investigators

Sponsor Class
Other
Responsible Party
Principal Investigator
Principal Investigator

Dr Anoop Misra

Director

Diabetes Foundation, India

Study Sites (1)

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