Evaluation of the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Provision and Uptake of Services for the Prevention of Mother-to-child Transmission of HIV and Syphilis in Zimbabwe

Objectives (i) and (ii) will be met by a retrospective analysis of existing MoHCC data sources, allowing a comprehensive description and evaluation of the effects of the pandemic nationally on pMTCT services and, at a local level, on specialised neonatal care. All public healthcare facilities in Zimbabwe complete monthly returns of aggregate data on numbers of women attending antenatal care (ANC) and having HIV and syphilis testing and treatment during pregnancy, and information on HIV testing, prophylaxis for HIV-exposed infants and treatment of HIV-infected infants. These data are entered onto the DHIS-2 platform. Additionally, the national laboratory database includes data on infant HIV PCR testing.

Data will be extracted from the MoHCC DHIS-2 platform for the 5 years prior to measures taken for lockdown for COVID-19 (which started before any significant community transmission of COVID-19), until at least 6 months after the pandemic in Zimbabwe and corresponding measures end (if possible, depending on the course of the pandemic). National data include returns for 1560 healthcare facilities across 10 provinces. Descriptive analyses will focus on the year prior to lockdown, the period of the pandemic/associated response in Zimbabwe and a minimum of 6 months afterwards; we will describe changes in indicators nationally and by province. The national laboratory data will be used as an independent (unlinked) data source to verify trends in EID. Coverage of ART during pregnancy, infant prophylaxis and ART in infants with HIV will be estimated by combining data from MoHCC returns with Spectrum estimates, as is done routinely. Interrupted time series models will be used to estimate trends in indicators across the three time periods (five years pre-pandemic, during the pandemic, 6-months post pandemic), accounting for seasonal patterns and trends prior to the pandemic.

Objective (ii) will be addressed by analysis of NeoTree data. NeoTree is an application used in the neonatal unit at Harare Children's Hospital which combines data collection by healthcare workers in real-time with interactive decision support and education for improving quality of care.

Objective (iii) will use a qualitative design to provide complementary data to enhance the quantitative results. Longitudinal in-depth individual interviews with pregnant and lactating women, and with healthcare workers will be conducted at the Harare. Participants willing and able to provide informed consent will be purposively recruited from the Family and Child Health unit at Harare Children's Hospital. Participants will take part in two waves of data collection, at study start and after six months.

Objective (v) will draw out key messages from this mixed-methods approach for communication and education. We will design, produce and disseminate educational materials in various media. We will build on existing materials already available in Shona (www.picturinghealth.org) and study findings from objectives (i)-(iv) to develop, pilot and evaluate educational materials for women and families on accessing healthcare safely, and disseminate materials to healthcare workers and policymakers. These will include social media targeted video and short animations in Shona, designed to be easily adaptable to other settings for wider dissemination.