Prognostic Factors of Importance on Who Develops Chronic Low Back Pain: a Protocol Update for an Inception Cohort with Focus on Prognostic Factors with 54 Years of Follow Up

Despite massive efforts of trying to find predictors and prevention for LBP, it remains to be clarified, why some individuals develop severely disabling low back pain while others never experience noteworthy back pain. There is no evidence that numbers of chronically affected individuals have diminished; rather, the incidence of LBP has increased continuously over the last 20 years which is also reflected in rising numbers of lumbar surgical treatments. The prevalence and burden increase with age and prevention of LBP in an aging population seems more urgent than ever. As LBP is undoubtedly a multifaceted disorder that tends to fluctuate throughout life, there is a need for longitudinal research, exploring the effect of both life style and psychosocial factors on the development of chronic low back pain.

The aim of this study is to identify whether a history of low back pain during adolescence represents an increased risk of experiencing low back pain later in life.