Optimizing the Duration of Anticoagulation in Venous Thromboembolism: the DULCIS Study

Venous thromboembolism (VTE- the deposition of thrombi in the deep veins of the lower limbs-deep vein thrombosis- and/or pulmonary embolism) has an incidence of 1.0 - 1.6 events per year per 1000 persons. While the prevention and treatment of the acute phase of VTE is well established, the secondary prevention of the disease, that is its long-term management, is not well standardized. Venous thromboembolism tends to recur regardless of the duration of treatment , with an incidence of 30% over 5-10 years. Both the duration and the quality of treatment after the acute event are not well established nor consistently applied in clinical practice. Recently, the 7th Consensus Conference on Anti-thrombotic therapy of the American College of Chest Physicians recommended that patients with unprovoked VTE receive at least 3 months of anticoagulant therapy. Afterwards the risk-benefit ratio of long-term therapy should be evaluated. Long term treatment is recommended in patients at low risk of bleeding and for whom good anticoagulant monitoring is achievable. However, the risk of recurrence is greatest in the first 6 to 12 months after the initial episode while it gradually decreases thereafter. As a result, the benefits of extending anticoagulation are offset over time by the risk of clinically important bleeding associated with anticoagulation. Moreover, vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) are currently the drugs of choice, and their require a strict laboratory monitoring, but in the near future newer oral anticoagulants not requiring monitoring will be available.

Several individual characteristics such as post-anticoagulation D-dimer and residual venous obstruction have been shown to be associated with an increased risk of recurrent events. We have shown in a multicentre randomized study PROLONG (N Engl J Med 2006; 355: 1780-1789) showed that D-dimer could play a role in establishing the duration of anticoagulation after a first episode of idiopathic VTE. Patients were treated with VKA for a minimum of 3 months and D-d was tested at one month after anticoagulation withdrawal . If D-dimer was normal patients did not resume treatment, whereas those with elevated D-dimer were randomized to either stop or resume anticoagulation. Patients with an abnormal D-dimer had a statistically significant higher risk for recurrence when compared with those with normal D-d. Continued anticoagulation in patients with elevated D-d significantly reduced the risk of recurrent VTE over a follow-up of 18 months.

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a procedure employing the evaluation of residual vein obstruction and D-dimer to establish the individual risk of recurrence and thus the necessity to prolong or stop anticoagulation ( with VKAs but also with newer anticoagulants) after venous thromboembolism.

The pre-defined objectives of the study are the following:

i) to obtain a recurrence rate < 5% per year in the first and second year after anticoagulation is suspended according to the procedure ii) to allow that after treatment for the first episode of venous thromboembolism, anticoagulation suspension in feasible in at least 40% of all subjects included in the study.