The Impact of Bundled Payments on Quality and Cost of Care

Active, not recruiting

• Conditions: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease; Osteoarthritis; Pneumonia

• Registration Number: NCT02743507
• Lead Sponsor: University of Pennsylvania

Brief Summary

Bundled payment is a new payment reform that encourages health care providers to improve quality and contain costs of care. These arrangements are being rapidly expanded across the country, but evidence about their impact are lacking. This study will use Medicare claims data to evaluate the effect of participation in a large Medicare bundled payment program on the quality and costs of care for common medical and surgical conditions.

Detailed Description

The overall objective is to examine the effects of the Bundled Payments for Care Improvement (BPCI) Model 2 on the quality and costs of care for conditions related to seven of the ten Medicare severity disease-related groups (MS-DRGs) most commonly selected by program participation. Five of these are surgical (major joint replacement of the lower extremity; double joint replacement of the lower extremity; revision of the hip or knee, hip and femur procedures except major joint; lower extremity and humerus procedure except hip, foot, and femur) and two are medical (simple pneumonia and respiratory infections; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, bronchitis/asthma). These MS-DRGs represent two larger service lines: orthopedics and pulmonary. For each of these seven MS-DRGs, the team will first describe characteristics of provider organizations participating in bundled payment arrangements, including geographic characteristics and clinical volume. We will subsequently empirically test the effect of bundled payment arrangements on quality outcomes and costs of care for these conditions. Additionally, the team will examine any spillover effects that occur within the service lines that contain these seven MS-DRGs.

Study Timeline

• Study Start: 2016-04
• Study First Submitted: 2016-04-08
• Study First Submitted QC: 2016-04-13
• Study First Posted: 2016-04-19
• Primary Completion: 2018-12-31
• Status Verified: 2023-09
• Last Update Submitted: 2023-09-08
• Last Update Posted: 2023-09-11
• Study Completion: 2024-12

Recruitment & Eligibility

• Status: ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING
• Sex: All
• Target Recruitment: 440

Inclusion Criteria

• Provider organizations that participate in model 2 of the BPCI program, accept bundled payment for the ten most common MS-DRGs, and have at least ten or greater episodes in each of the MS-DRGs.

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Exclusion Criteria

• Provider organizations who participated in the BPCI program, but do not meet inclusion criteria will be excluded.

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Study & Design

• Study Type: OBSERVATIONAL
• Study Design: Not specified

Primary Outcome Measures

Name	Time	Method
Unplanned readmission rates	Up to 90 days	The study team will analyze changes in unplanned admission rates at 30, 60, and 90 days post-discharge.
Emergency department utilization rates for patients post-discharge	12 months	The study team will analyze post-discharge emergency department utilization without re-hospitalization in patients with the specific 10 MS-DRGs to test the effect of bundled payment arrangements on quality outcomes and costs of care for these conditions.
All-cause mortality	12 months	The study team will analyze all cause mortality in patients with the specified 10 MS-DRGs.

Secondary Outcome Measures

Name	Time	Method
Medicare spending per patient for the initial hospitalization	12 months	The study team will analyze Medicare spending for initial hospitalization and for services during the initial post-hospitalization period to test the effect of bundled payment arrangements on quality outcomes and costs of care for these conditions.
Total Medicare per patient per episode	12 months	The study team will analyze total Medicare episode spending for individual patients to test the effect of bundled payment arrangements on quality outcomes and costs of care for these conditions.