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Refining Risk Prediction Models for Older Adults Using Electronic Health Records

Not yet recruiting
Conditions
Predictive Modeling
Registration Number
NCT06995365
Lead Sponsor
University of California, Los Angeles
Brief Summary

This study aims to improve how lab results are communicated to older adults by refining a predictive model that uses electronic health record (EHR) data. The model was originally developed to estimate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Researchers will use existing health data to test and improve the accuracy of the model and explore how it might be adapted for use in other health conditions. The study does not involve direct interaction with patients and is conducted entirely using de-identified data in a secure environment.

Detailed Description

Not available

Recruitment & Eligibility

Status
NOT_YET_RECRUITING
Sex
All
Target Recruitment
18000
Inclusion Criteria

Not provided

Exclusion Criteria
  • Patients younger than 65 years old
  • Patients with less than 5 years of clinical follow-up
  • Patients from health systems outside of the UC Health network.

Study & Design

Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Study Design
Not specified
Primary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod
Performance of the Risk Prediction ModelUp to 5 years of retrospective follow up

Evaluate the predictive performance of a machine learning-based risk model using retrospective Electronic Health Records (EHR) data. The model estimates the likelihood of disease progression in older adults. The model should be designed to be adaptable to various clinical conditions. Metrics include Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC), sensitivity, and specificity.

Secondary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod

Trial Locations

Locations (1)

UCLA Health System

🇺🇸

Los Angeles, California, United States

UCLA Health System
🇺🇸Los Angeles, California, United States

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