Planning for Frailty: Optimal Health and Social Care Workforce Organisation Using Demand-led Simulation Modelling (FLOWS)
试验速览
- 阶段
- 不适用
- 状态
- 进行中（未招募）
- 入组人数
- 50,000
- 试验地点
- 1
- 主要终点
- Service use (for cohort analysis)
研究概览
简要总结
What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and social care workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? As the population ages, robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social care by older people is needed. A lack of evidence in this areas has led to a mis-match between the health and social care demand from the ageing population and the current workforce capacity. The proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the workforce required to address the specific challenge of providing health and social care for the growing numbers of older people living with frailty.
详细描述
Research Question: What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and social care workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? Background: As the population ages, robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social care by older people is needed. A lack of evidence in this area has led to a mis-match between the health and social care demand from the ageing population and the current workforce capacity. The proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the workforce required to address the specific challenge of providing health and social care for the growing numbers of older people living with frailty.
Aims & Objectives: The aim of the study is to use simulation modelling to explore long-term trends in frailty-related health and social care use in the ageing population and its implications for future workforce size and competencies to support high quality care. The primary objective of this study is the creation of a simulation model that will inform service and workforce planning to meet health and social care needs associated with frailty.
Methods: The study will use a System Dynamics design to develop and test the simulation model.
Work packages comprise a scoping review, gathering of public and professional perspectives on service provision via a survey and stakeholder engagement activities, and analysis of linked health and social care data, all of which inform the simulation modelling work package and development of a workforce planning toolkit.
Timelines for delivery: The scoping review will be completed in year 1. Routine health and social care data specification and extraction will occur in year 1, as will service mapping and classification and survey preparation. Survey data collection and analysis will occur in year 2. Simulation modelling will commence in year 2, with validation, sensitivity analyses and scenario modelling in year 3.
研究设计
- 研究类型
- Observational
- 观察模型
- Cohort
- 时间视角
- Retrospective
入排标准
- 年龄范围
- 50 Years 至 —（Adult, Older Adult）
- 性别
- All
- 接受健康志愿者
- 否
入选标准
- 未提供
排除标准
- 未提供
结局指标
主要结局
Service use (for cohort analysis)
时间窗: 2015-2022
Use of primary, secondary, community, health and social care services
次要结局
- Workforce provision of services to Adults living with Frailty(2015-2022)