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临床试验/NCT07311954
NCT07311954尚未招募不适用

Development and Validation of a cCTA and Biomarker Based Risk Model for Coronary Revascularization in Elderly Patients With Coronary Artery Disease

China National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases0 个研究点目标入组 800 人开始时间: 2026年1月1日最近更新:
适应症

试验速览

阶段
不适用
状态
尚未招募
发起方
入组人数
800
主要终点
Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) for Risk Model Performance

研究概览

简要总结

This study is a prospective multi-center observational cohort involving elderly patients (≥70 years old) with multi-vessel coronary disease identified by coronary computed tomography angiography (cCTA) and scheduled for invasive coronary angiography. Data collection about cCTA, frailty and biomarkers and two-year follow-up will be conducted to develop and validate a risk model of coronary revascularization.

研究设计

研究类型
Observational
观察模型
Cohort
时间视角
Prospective

入排标准

年龄范围
70 Years 至 —(Older Adult)
性别
All
接受健康志愿者

入选标准

  • Age ≥ 70 years.
  • Multivessel coronary artery disease identified on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), defined as ≥50% stenosis in at least two of the three major epicardial coronary arteries.
  • Scheduled to undergo invasive coronary angiography as part of standard clinical care.
  • Able to provide informed consent, or consent provided by a legally authorized representative.

排除标准

  • Previous coronary revascularization, including percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
  • Acute myocardial infarction at admission, according to electrocardiographic findings and elevated cardiac biomarkers consistent with acute MI.
  • Poor-quality CCTA images that prevent accurate assessment of coronary plaque characteristics or stenosis severity.
  • Refusal or inability to participate in the study or to provide informed consent.

结局指标

主要结局

Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) for Risk Model Performance

时间窗: At completion of 2-year follow-up

AUC evaluates the model's discrimination performance in predicting MACCEs at 24 months.

次要结局

  • Positive Predictive Value (PPV)(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness-of-Fit Statistic(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Calibration Slope(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Sensitivity of the Prediction Model(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Specificity of the Prediction Model(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Negative Predictive Value (NPV)(At completion of 2-year follow-up)
  • Decision Curve Analysis (DCA)(At completion of 2-year follow-up)

研究者

发起方
China National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases
申办方类型
Other Gov
责任方
Sponsor

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