First-trimester Prediction of Preeclampsia and Other Placenta-mediated Pregnancy Complications

Background: Preeclampsia (PE) is a placenta-mediated pregnancy complication related to adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes, including intra-uterine growth restriction (IUGR) and perinatal death. A growing body of evidence suggests that the preterm and severe forms of PE are associated with deep placentation disorders that occur early in gestation. Over the last decade, maternal characteristic and first-trimester biomarkers, including some that are already used for aneuploidy screening (PAPP-A) have been strongly related to the preterm and early forms of PE, suggesting that early prediction is possible. Preventive measures are actually recommended (low-dose aspirin; calcium) or under investigation (folic acid; low-molecular weight heparin; anti-oxidant) in high-risk women. However, only women with chronic disease or prior adverse pregnancy outcomes are eligible for these measures while most cases of PE occur in nulliparous women. Moreover, there are actually no clear guidelines for clinicians in Canada whose pregnant patients have one or several risk factors for preeclampsia (obesity, chronic hypertension, low PAPP-A, etc.). On the other hand, it has been suggested that prediction of PE, and particularly the most severe cases, is possible with high sensitivity and specificity by using a combination of anamnestic, biophysical, biochemical and ultrasonographic biomarkers using the web-based Fetal-Medicine Foundation (FMF) screening test. This suggests that a strategy of prediction and prevention of PE and other placenta-mediated complications is becoming possible for nulliparous women as well. However, certain major concerns must be addressed: 1) The FMF screening test has not been validated prospectively; 2) a controversy exists about the need and feasibility of Doppler ultrasound in the general population.

Objectives:

1. To validate the 11-13 week FMF screening test for early-onset PE and a composite of placenta-mediated outcomes (preterm PE, IUGR <3rd percentile, stillbirth); and
2. To compare the screening test with and without uterine artery (UtA) Doppler;
3. To explore the efficiency of new potential biomarkers (ADAM-12; Placental protein (PP) -13; placental and subplacental volume; placental vascularization) for prediction of PE in our population.

Methods: A multicenter prospective observational study of nulliparous women recruited between 11 3/7 - 13 6/7 weeks (maternal characteristics; BMI; Mean arterial pressure (MAP); PAPP-A; placental growth factor (PIGF); UtA Doppler...) and followed until delivery. Delivery and neonatal data will be collected through chart reviews. Detection rates for early-onset PE (primary outcome) and other adverse pregnancy outcomes will be measured using the 11-13 weeks FMF screening test with and without UtA Doppler results. A case-cohort study will be performed using stored serum samples and three-dimensional ultrasound volume acquired at the 11-13 weeks visit.

Feasibility and power calculation: We estimate a minimum incidence of early-onset PE of 0.7%. A minimum of 7,600 women will be necessary to demonstrate that the FMF screening test is at least 80% sensitive and 90% specific where it is expected that it will be 95% sensitive and 92% specific. We will have the power to detect an absolute difference of 15% in the detection rate between the different screening strategies (± Doppler). Recruitment will take 3.0 years. The overall study will take 5.0 years.