Early Non-invasive Detection of CTEPH After Pulmonary Embolism

Completed

• Conditions: Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension
• Interventions: Other: 'prediction score' and 'rule-out criteria'

• Registration Number: NCT02555137
• Lead Sponsor: Leiden University

Brief Summary

This is a prospective, international, multicenter outcome cohort study. This study starts at the moment patients visit the outpatient clinic 3 to 6 months after a diagnosis of acute PE as part of routine medical care. If patients consent to study participation, the CTEPH clinical prediction score will be calculated. CTEPH is considered to be not present in patients with a low probability (≤6 points) and no symptoms suggestive of CTEPH, i.e. dyspnea on exertion, edema, newly developed palpitations, syncope or chest pains.The remaining patients with either high probability (\>6 points) or who report symptoms that may be associated with CTEPH will be subjected to the 'rule-out criteria'. CTEPH will be assumed not present in patients with an age- and gender dependent normal NT-proBNP level (as defined by the assay's manufacturer), in the absence of any of the 3 ECG criteria. Patients who have an abnormal result from the 'rule-out criteria' will be referred for transthoracic echocardiography. All echocardiograms will be performed according to a predefined standardized protocol.

In case of echocardiographic intermediate or high probability of PH, patients will be referred for further diagnostic work-up of suspected CTEPH starting with perfusion lung scan or VQ-scan and right heart catheterization, of which the results will be discussed by an independent interdisciplinary working group of PH specialists, to ensure optimal diagnostic management. This latter diagnostic work-up of an abnormal echocardiograph lies within the setting of standard medical care.

All patients who were not diagnosed with pulmonary hypertension of any origin, or with NYHA class III or IV heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction, left ventricular diastolic dysfunction or significant valvular lesions, will be followed for a total of 2 years from the index PE diagnosis. During that period, the study protocol will not interfere with standard patient care, allowing diagnostic tests as deemed indicated by the treating physician including echocardiography in case of new respiratory symptoms. At the end of the follow-up period, all patients will be subjected to a second echocardiography that will be handled according to the above stated procedures to evaluate the presence of CTEPH.

Detailed Description

This is a prospective, international, multicenter outcome cohort study. This study starts at the moment patients visit the outpatient clinic 3 to 6 months after a diagnosis of acute PE as part of routine medical care. If patients consent to study participation, the CTEPH clinical prediction score will be calculated. This score consists of 6 variables that should be assessed at the time of PE diagnosis: unprovoked PE (+6 points), known hypothyroidism (+3 points), diagnostic delay \>2 weeks (+3 points), right ventricular dysfunction on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) or echocardiography (+2 points), known diabetes mellitus (-3 points) and thrombolytic therapy or embolectomy for the acute PE event (-3 points) CTEPH is considered to be not present in patients with a low probability (≤6 points) and no symptoms suggestive of CTEPH, i.e. dyspnea on exertion, edema, newly developed palpitations, syncope or chest pains. The remaining patients with either high probability (\>6 points) or who report symptoms that may be associated with CTEPH will be subjected to the 'rule-out criteria'. CTEPH will be assumed not present in patients with an age- and gender dependent normal NT-proBNP level (as defined by the assay's manufacturer), in the absence of these 3 ECG criteria: 1) rSR' or rSr' pattern in lead V1, 2) R:S \>1 in lead V1 with R \>0.5mV and 3) QRS axis \>90o. Patients who have an abnormal result from the 'rule-out criteria' will be referred for transthoracic echocardiography. All echocardiograms will be judged by the echocardiographic criteria for suspected PH according to the 2015 ESC guidelines.

In case of echocardiographic intermediate or high probability of PH, patients will be referred for further diagnostic work-up of suspected CTEPH starting with perfusion lung scan or VQ-scan and right heart catheterization, of which the results will be discussed by an independent interdisciplinary working group of PH specialists, to ensure optimal diagnostic management. This latter diagnostic work-up of an abnormal echocardiograph lies within the setting of standard medical care.

All patients who were not diagnosed with pulmonary hypertension of any origin, or with NYHA class III or IV heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction, left ventricular diastolic dysfunction or significant valvular lesions, will be followed for a total of 2 years from the index PE diagnosis. During that period, the study protocol will not interfere with standard patient care, allowing diagnostic tests as deemed indicated by the treating physician including echocardiography in case of new respiratory symptoms. At the end of the follow-up period, all patients will be subjected to a second echocardiography that will be handled according to the above stated procedures to evaluate the presence of CTEPH.

Study Timeline

• Study First Submitted: 2015-09-15
• Study First Submitted QC: 2015-09-17
• Study First Posted: 2015-09-21
• Study Start: 2016-02-01
• Primary Completion: 2019-11-01
• Study Completion: 2019-12-01
• Status Verified: 2021-02
• Last Update Submitted: 2021-02-06
• Last Update Posted: 2021-02-09

Recruitment & Eligibility

• Status: COMPLETED
• Sex: All
• Target Recruitment: 424

Inclusion Criteria

• All patients with an objectivated first or recurrent diagnosis of symptomatic acute PE, who have been treated for at least three months with therapeutically dosed anticoagulant therapy according to current guidelines;
• Signed and dated informed consent of the subject available before the start of any specific study procedures;
• Age ≥18 years;

Exclusion criteria:

• Known CTEPH or PH;
• Known (i.e. echocardiographic confirmed) NYHA class III or IV chronic heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction, left ventricular diastolic dysfunction or significant valvular lesions;
• Severe renal failure (eGFR <15 ml/min) or renal replacement therapy;
• Medical or psychological condition that would not permit completion of the study or signing of informed consent, including life expectancy less than six months, or unwillingness to sign informed consent;
• Non-compliance or inability to adhere to treatment or to the follow-up visits.

Exclusion Criteria

Not provided

Study & Design

• Study Type: OBSERVATIONAL
• Study Design: Not specified

Arm && Interventions

Group	Intervention	Description
outcome cohort study	'prediction score' and 'rule-out criteria'	'prediction score' and 'rule-out criteria'

Primary Outcome Measures

Name	Time	Method
The accuracy of the screening algorithm to detect CTEPH, as reflected by the 2-year incidence of confirmed CTEPH in patients in whom CTEPH was initially considered not present based on the 'risk stratification score' and the 'rule out criteria'.	2-year follow-up	The primairy endpoint is to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of a CTEPH screening program based on the 'risk stratification score' and the 'rule out criteria'.

Secondary Outcome Measures

Name	Time	Method
incremental diagnostic accuracy of electrocardiographically derived ECG-vectoranalysis on top of the manual ECG assessment by comparing the c-statistics and reclassification numbers between the manually and automatically assessed ECG parameters	2-year follow-up	The additional diagnostic accuracy of the electrocardiographically derived ECG-VCG will be assessed by comparing the c-statistics and reclassification numbers between the manually and automatically assessed ECG parameters in the algorithm.
The cumulative incidence and incidence rate of CTEPH in the total study population with corresponding 95% confidence interval	2-year follow-up	The cumulative incidence and incidence rate of CTEPH in the total study population will be calculated with corresponding 95% confidence interval
Inter-observer variability in the measurement of the RV/LV ratio on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) expressed as the kappa-value of the ventricular dimension measurements by two independent researchers.	2-year follow-up	Determination of the inter-observer variability in the measurement of the RV/LV ratio on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA).
Feasibility of the screening algorithm, the number of necessary echocardiograms at baseline and the number of relevant echocardiographic findings at baseline, i.e. those that require treatment	2-year follow-up	number of necessary echocardiograms at baseline and the number of relevant echocardiographic findings at baseline, i.e. those that require treatment
3 Cost-effectiveness of the screening algorithm: a study-based cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA: diagnostic costs per early CTEPH diagnosis) and a model-based cost-utility analysis (CUA: societal costs per QALY).	2-year follow-up	cost-effectiveness of the strategy for standardized follow-up after PE aimed at diagnosing CTEPH in early stages.The economic evaluation will include a study-based cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA: diagnostic costs per early CTEPH diagnosis) and a model-based cost-utility analysis (CUA: societal costs per QALY).

Trial Locations

Locations (5)

VUmc; 🇳🇱 Amsterdam, Netherlands

UZ Leuven; 🇧🇪 Leuven, Belgium

Haga; 🇳🇱 Den Haag, Netherlands

LUMC; 🇳🇱 Leiden, Netherlands

medical university of Warsaw; 🇵🇱 Warsaw, Poland