Risk Factors Predicting Prognosis and Outcome of Elderly Patients With Isolated Traumatic Brain Injury

Although several prognostic models have been developed to predict outcome for patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), currently no study describes the impact of respiratory failure during Emergency Department treatment on mortality in a population of elderly patients. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate factors predicting poor outcome with special emphasis on the impact of respiratory failure on mortality in elderly patients with isolated severe TBI.

All elderly patients (age ≥ 65 years) with isolated severe head injury, admitted to this Level I trauma center, during a period of 16 years (from January 1992 to December 2008) were identified from the trauma registry. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for a poor prognosis and outcome.

The logistic regression found the following variables influencing the mortality: respiratory failure (p<0.0005; OR: 9.369), pupillary response (p<0.0212, OR: 3.393) and ISS score (p<0.0001, OR:1.179). A significant (p<0.0001) increased risk of death was also found for patients with a midline shift >15 mm.

The present study predicts a strong correlation between respiratory failure, pathological pupillary response, a higher ISS and substantial midline shift with poor outcomes in elderly patients sustaining an isolated severe TBI.