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Active Surveillance in Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer Doubles Over Past Decade, Yale Study Shows

• Analysis of SEER database reveals conservative management of intermediate-risk prostate cancer increased from 5.0% in 2010 to 12.3% in 2020, indicating a significant shift in treatment approaches.

• The trend toward active surveillance is particularly pronounced in patients with elevated PSA levels between 10-20 ng/mL, though treatment remains more common for those with intermediate-grade cancers.

• Healthcare providers are increasingly considering personalized approaches and risk stratification in treatment decisions, balancing potential treatment side effects against patient outcomes.

A new analysis from Yale Cancer Center researchers reveals a significant shift toward conservative management approaches for intermediate-risk prostate cancer, with active surveillance and watchful waiting rates more than doubling over the past decade.
The study, published in JAMA, analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, showing that conservative management increased from 5.0% in 2010 to 12.3% in 2020. This trend represents a notable evolution in the treatment paradigm for intermediate-risk prostate cancer, traditionally managed with immediate intervention.

Changing Treatment Landscape

"Even though patients have intermediate-risk prostate cancer, that's a very broad category," explains Dr. Michael S. Leapman, senior author and associate professor at Yale School of Medicine. "There are some patients who have truly aggressive prostate cancer who are in the intermediate-risk category, but on the other end of the spectrum, some cancers that meet that definition are edge cases."
The study found that increased adoption of conservative management was particularly evident in patients with elevated PSA levels (10-20 ng/mL) but less common in those with intermediate-grade cancers. This pattern suggests a more nuanced approach to risk stratification and treatment decision-making.

Factors Influencing Management Decisions

Several factors contribute to the growing acceptance of conservative management. Treatment-related adverse events, including urinary incontinence, sexual dysfunction, and bowel toxicity from surgery or radiation, as well as side effects from hormone therapy, have prompted careful consideration of risk-benefit ratios.
Practice patterns vary significantly between academic and community settings, though this gap appears to be narrowing. "Rates of active surveillance or conservative management are historically higher in academic versus community hospital settings, but the numbers are leveling off," notes Dr. Leapman.

Role of Advanced Diagnostics

The research team identified correlations between areas with higher utilization of advanced diagnostic tools, such as imaging and biomarkers, and increased adoption of conservative management approaches. However, Dr. Leapman cautions that causation hasn't been established, noting that physicians and patients choosing monitoring may simply be more inclined to utilize these tests.

Future Directions

Researchers are actively working to identify less invasive monitoring methods and better predictors of cancer progression. "One of the big barriers to doing surveillance is the need to do follow-up testing," Dr. Leapman explains. "We're very interested in ways to identify changes in cancer risk that would motivate treatment sooner to make monitoring less invasive."
The findings suggest a continuing evolution in prostate cancer management, with increasing emphasis on personalized approaches based on individual risk factors and patient preferences. This shift represents a significant change from the historical "treat all" approach, though questions remain about optimal patient selection and monitoring strategies.
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Reference News

[1]
Conservative Management Is on the Rise in Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer
targetedonc.com · Jan 17, 2025

A JAMA-published analysis reveals a growing trend towards active surveillance or watchful waiting for intermediate-risk ...

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