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Biogen Raises 2024 Earnings Outlook as New Drug Portfolio Shows Promise

9 months ago2 min read

Key Insights

  • Biogen has increased its 2024 earnings per share guidance to $16.10-$16.60, driven by strong performance from new products including Leqembi, which generated $67 million in Q3 revenue.

  • The company's transformation under CEO Chris Viehbacher continues with strategic focus on cost savings of $800 million by 2025 and pipeline diversification beyond neuroscience.

  • Despite declining multiple sclerosis drug sales, Biogen's new product launches, including Zurzuvae and Skyclarys, are helping offset revenue losses in core business segments.

Biogen reported encouraging financial results for the third quarter of 2023, with total revenue reaching $2.5 billion and new product launches gaining significant traction in the market. The Massachusetts-based biotechnology company has raised its diluted earnings per share guidance for 2024 to $16.10-$16.60, up from the previous estimate of $15.75-$16.25.

Strong Performance from New Product Portfolio

Leqembi, Biogen's closely watched Alzheimer's treatment, demonstrated remarkable growth with Q3 revenue of $67 million, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $58 million and showing a 66% increase from the previous quarter. The company's rare disease medication Skyclarys generated $102 million in revenue, while the newly launched postpartum depression drug Zurzuvae has also contributed to the portfolio's performance.

Core Business Challenges and Transition

Despite the success of new launches, Biogen's traditional revenue streams continue to face headwinds. The multiple sclerosis franchise experienced a 9% year-over-year decline, bringing in just over $1 billion in the third quarter. Spinraza, once a key growth driver for spinal muscular atrophy treatment, saw a 15% revenue decline to $381 million.

Strategic Transformation and Future Outlook

Under the leadership of CEO Chris Viehbacher, who joined in late 2022, Biogen has embarked on a comprehensive transformation strategy. The company remains committed to achieving $800 million in net cost savings by the end of 2025 through various efficiency initiatives.

Pipeline Development and Research Focus

Biogen has identified four promising research programs with potential combined peak annual sales of approximately $14 billion. These programs target:
  • Early Alzheimer's disease
  • Multiple forms of lupus
  • Autoimmune kidney conditions
The company's research strategy represents a deliberate shift from its traditional focus on high-risk neuroscience programs, reflecting a broader diversification of therapeutic areas.

Market Response and Analyst Perspectives

While the earnings report showed promising developments in new product launches, analysts maintain a cautious outlook. RBC Capital Markets analyst Brian Abrahams notes that Biogen "remains a company in transition," with some concerning signals in its base business. Industry experts, including Jefferies analyst Michael Yee, suggest that further business development and pipeline growth will be crucial for sustaining investor confidence beyond the company's Alzheimer's portfolio.
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