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Egetis Therapeutics' Emcitate Poised for European Approval, Driving Optimistic Financial Outlook

8 months ago2 min read

Key Insights

  • The European Medicines Agency's CHMP has recommended approval of Egetis Therapeutics' Emcitate (tiratricol) for MCT8 deficiency, marking a significant milestone.

  • Handelsbanken has increased its three-year target price for Egetis to SEK 16.9, reiterating an outperform recommendation based on Emcitate's potential.

  • Egetis Therapeutics anticipates substantial revenue growth, projecting an increase from SEK 50 million in 2024 to SEK 1.4 billion in 2026 following Emcitate's expected market entry.

The European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) has recommended the approval of Emcitate (tiratricol), developed by Egetis Therapeutics, for the treatment of MCT8 deficiency. This positive development has led Handelsbanken to raise its three-year target price for Egetis Therapeutics to SEK 16.9, reiterating its 'Buy' recommendation.

Financial Projections Surge

Handelsbanken's analysis indicates strong confidence in Emcitate's market success. "We now assess that it is virtually certain that Emcitate will be successful in Europe," the bank stated. This optimism extends to potential approvals in other key markets, with Handelsbanken estimating a 70-80% probability of approval in both Japan and the US.
The financial outlook for Egetis Therapeutics reflects this anticipated success. Handelsbanken projects a substantial increase in revenues, from SEK 50 million in 2024 to approximately SEK 450 million in 2025 and SEK 1.4 billion in 2026. This growth is directly attributed to the expected market penetration of Emcitate following its approval and launch.

Market Response

Following the announcement, Egetis Therapeutics' share price experienced a notable increase. During Monday's trading, the share price rose by 4.8 percent to SEK 6.83, reflecting investor confidence in the company's prospects.

MCT8 Deficiency and Tiratricol

MCT8 deficiency, also known as Allan-Herndon-Dudley syndrome, is a rare X-linked genetic disorder that affects the transport of thyroid hormones into the brain. This can lead to severe neurological impairment and developmental delays. Tiratricol, the active ingredient in Emcitate, is a thyroid hormone analogue that can bypass the defective MCT8 transporter, providing thyroid hormone to the brain and potentially mitigating the effects of the deficiency.
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