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Cognivia Launches AI-Powered Dashboard to Predict Clinical Trial Dropout and Placebo Response in Real-Time

a day ago3 min read

Key Insights

  • Cognivia Signal, the world's first real-time behavioral risk intelligence dashboard, uses AI to predict clinical trial participant dropout and placebo response patterns.

  • Early validation in a Type 1 Diabetes trial demonstrated 93% accuracy in predicting participant dropout before it occurred.

  • The platform integrates proprietary questionnaires with machine learning algorithms to help sponsors reduce trial delays and improve study performance.

Cognivia, a Belgium-based AI company, has launched Cognivia Signal, positioning it as the world's first real-time behavioral risk intelligence dashboard designed to predict clinical trial participant dropout and placebo response. The platform aims to address one of the pharmaceutical industry's most costly challenges by providing sponsors with immediate insights into participant behavior patterns.

AI Platform Demonstrates High Predictive Accuracy

The technology integrates proprietary questionnaires with machine learning algorithms to deliver predictive insights as clinical trials progress. Early validation data reveals the platform's potential impact: in a Type 1 Diabetes clinical trial, Cognivia Signal predicted 93% of participants who ultimately dropped out, accurately flagging them as high risk before they left the study.
"The reasons for patient dropout and placebo response are rooted in complex behavior," said Bert Hartog, PhD, former Senior Director Clinical Innovation at J&J and current Senior Clinical Innovation consultant. "The consequences can cost trial sponsors millions each year due to delayed study timelines and patient replacement costs."

Addressing Critical Trial Management Challenges

Cognivia Signal captures and displays behavioral and contextual drivers behind trial participants, allowing sponsors to evaluate where and why dropout risk emerges, identify participants at risk of leaving studies, and understand behavioral drivers of placebo response. According to Hartog, compromised drug efficacy results can prevent promising treatments from reaching patients who need them most.
The platform enables sponsors to intervene proactively in clinical development, reducing dropout rates, improving study performance, and increasing trial success likelihood. Chantal Gossuin, Chief Operating Officer of Cognivia, described the technology as "a step toward behavior-informed clinical research, where understanding the human factors behind trial data becomes a standard part of the development process."

Operational Benefits and Market Impact

Beyond dropout prediction, Cognivia Signal offers several operational advantages for clinical research. The platform provides improved trial management capabilities with fewer delays, reduced placebo-related noise for greater clarity in efficacy signals, and smarter resource allocation through real-time benchmarking across sites and regions.
The launch represents Cognivia's third product dedicated to improving trial outcomes, building on the company's existing Placebell and Compl-AI solutions by delivering these insights in real-time format. The company focuses on reducing behavioral variability, which it identifies as one of the biggest drivers of trial failure.

Technology Integration and Future Applications

Cognivia's AI-powered behavioral models extend beyond dropout prediction to encompass placebo responder identification, nonadherence risk assessment, and engagement pattern analysis. These capabilities aim to improve statistical power and reliability in clinical trials, potentially resulting in fewer trial delays, increased drug accuracy, and improved success rates across the pharmaceutical development pipeline.
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