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Apellis Pharmaceuticals' C3G/IC-MPGN Drug Shows Promise Amidst Syfovre Setbacks

10 months ago2 min read

Key Insights

  • Apellis Pharmaceuticals faces headwinds with a negative CHMP opinion on Syfovre, impacting its European market prospects.

  • Analyst Yigal Nochomovitz reaffirms a Buy rating for Apellis, citing market overreaction as a buying opportunity.

  • Phase 3 results for Apellis' drug targeting C3G/IC-MPGN indicate potential peak sales of $800-900 million in the U.S.

Despite recent setbacks with Syfovre's European approval, Apellis Pharmaceuticals (APLS) is garnering renewed attention for its promising Phase 3 results of a drug targeting C3G/IC-MPGN, a disease with significant unmet medical needs. The positive data has led to reaffirmed Buy ratings from analysts, suggesting a potential upside for the company's stock.

Analyst Reaffirms Buy Rating

Citi analyst Yigal Nochomovitz has reiterated a Buy rating for Apellis, even after the negative opinion from the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) regarding Syfovre. Nochomovitz believes the market's reaction to the CHMP opinion is an overreaction, creating a buying opportunity for investors. He had already accounted for potential challenges in EU Syfovre sales in his valuation models.

C3G/IC-MPGN Drug Shows Promise

Nochomovitz's optimism is fueled by the Phase 3 results of Apellis' drug targeting C3G/IC-MPGN (C3 glomerulopathy/immune complex membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis). He projects potential peak sales of $800-900 million in the U.S. alone. Nochomovitz values the C3G/IC-MPGN indication at approximately $15 per share, a value he believes is not yet reflected in Apellis' current stock price.

Market Opportunity and Analyst Consensus

Needham also maintained a Buy rating on Apellis with a price target of $85.00. This further bolsters the positive outlook for the company, despite recent insider selling activity. The consensus among analysts suggests that the potential of the C3G/IC-MPGN drug and other factors outweigh the Syfovre setback, presenting a favorable investment opportunity.
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