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iTeos Therapeutics' TIGIT Inhibitor Belrestotug Projects $366M Peak Revenue for Solid Tumors by 2038

• iTeos Therapeutics' Belrestotug (EOS-448), a TIGIT-targeting checkpoint inhibitor, is forecasted to reach $366 million in annual US revenue by 2038 for multiple solid tumor indications.

• The intravenous immunotherapy is being developed for various cancers including non-small cell lung cancer, PD-1 resistant melanoma, and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

• iTeos faces financial headwinds with a 95.3% revenue decrease in FY2023 and a net loss of $112.6 million, highlighting the critical importance of Belrestotug's clinical development success.

The clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company iTeos Therapeutics is advancing its lead candidate Belrestotug (EOS-448), with projections indicating potential annual US revenue of $366 million by 2038. The investigational checkpoint blocking antibody, which targets TIGIT, represents a significant opportunity in the competitive immuno-oncology landscape.

Development Program and Therapeutic Applications

Belrestotug is currently undergoing clinical development for multiple solid tumor indications through intravenous administration. The drug's development program encompasses several high-need oncology areas, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), squamous NSCLC, PD-1 resistant melanoma, and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). The company had also previously explored its potential in relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.

Financial Context and Market Implications

The revenue projections for Belrestotug emerge against a challenging financial backdrop for iTeos Therapeutics. The company reported significant financial headwinds in fiscal year 2023, with revenues declining 95.3% to $12.6 million compared to FY2022. Operating performance shifted from a profit of $126.3 million in FY2022 to a loss of $151.1 million in FY2023, resulting in a net loss of $112.6 million.

Investment Valuation Considerations

Industry analysts are evaluating Belrestotug's potential using risk-adjusted Net Present Value (rNPV) models, which provide a more conservative valuation by incorporating:
  • Phase transition success rates
  • Remaining R&D costs
  • Likelihood of approval (LoA)
  • Sales-related costs
This methodology aims to account for the inherent risks in clinical development and potential market challenges, offering a more realistic assessment of the drug's commercial prospects.

Corporate Profile and Pipeline

iTeos Therapeutics, headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, maintains operations in both the United States and Belgium. Beyond Belrestotug, the company's pipeline includes Inupadenant, an A2A receptor antagonist also in development for solid tumors, and EOS-984. This portfolio reflects iTeos' strategic focus on developing novel immuno-oncology therapeutics for patients with advanced solid tumors.
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Reference News

[1]
Risk Adjusted Net Present Value: What is the current valuation of iTeos Therapeutics's Belrestotug
pharmaceutical-technology.com · Sep 8, 2024

Belrestotug's revenue in the US is projected to reach $65 mn by 2039, according to GlobalData's Expiry Model. The rNPV m...

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