• A new AI model developed by Stanford and Rensselaer enhances the prediction accuracy of clinical trial approvals by quantifying uncertainty.
• The model integrates selective classification with the Hierarchical Interaction Network (HINT) to identify and withhold predictions for low-confidence trials.
• Experiments showed the AI model achieved significant improvements in PR-AUC for Phase I, II, and III trials compared to the base HINT model.
• Researchers aim to refine the model for more accurate clinical trial simulations and explore new applications in drug development.