Tsunami Project - Description and Prediction of COVID-19 Impact on the Lombardy Region's Emergency System
试验速览
- 阶段
- 不适用
- 状态
- 已完成
- 发起方
- 入组人数
- 10,000
- 试验地点
- 4
- 主要终点
- Daily count of Emergency Department visits
研究概览
简要总结
This study has 3 main goals:
- to quantitavely describe the Covid-19 impact on the organization and functioning of the Lombardy's emergency system;
- to create statistical model able to predict the flow of patients to the emergency room during the epidemic period and their destination (ex: discharge, hospitalization, death);
- to value the impact on the non Covid-19 patients, both for their possibility to receive medical treatment and as an outcome on their health
详细描述
The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact that Covid-19 had on the Emergency System of Lombardy. For instance, it affected the job organization and the possibility of responding to general health needs.
First of all, the study will consider the calls to the Emergency Medical Service, the number of accesses to the Emergency Department, the waiting time before hospitalization, the ED output home (discharge, hospitalization, death, self-discharge before the end of the visit).
Secondly, a statistical model will be implemented, in order to predict the number of patients in need of hospitalization for each day during the pandemic period. This model could help the re-organization of the hospital itself in case of a new Covid-19 outbreak.
Finally, it will evaluate the impact on non-Covid patients, to see the difference in the mortality trends and their possiblity to be cured in a proper way.
研究设计
- 研究类型
- Observational
- 观察模型
- Cohort
- 时间视角
- Retrospective
入排标准
- 年龄范围
- 18 Years 至 —（Adult, Older Adult）
- 性别
- All
- 接受健康志愿者
- 否
入选标准
- 未提供
排除标准
- 未提供
结局指标
主要结局
Daily count of Emergency Department visits
时间窗: jan 2020 - dec 2020
The number of people accessing to each ED will be evaluated daily
Daily calls to the Emergency System
时间窗: jan 2020 - dec 2020
The number of calls to the Lombardy Emergency System will be evaluated daily during the study period
Daily average boarding time
时间窗: jan 2020 - dec 2020
The average time between the end of the ED visit and the hospital admission will be measured daily
Mortality
时间窗: jan 2020 - dec 2020
Daily mortality for any cause
Outcome at ED discharge
时间窗: jan 2020 - dec 2020
Distribution of the ED outcome (home discharge, hospitalization, death, self-discharge before the end of the visit)
次要结局
未报告次要终点