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The Regression of Liver Fibrosis and Risk for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (ROLFH) Study

Withdrawn
Conditions
Chronic Hepatitis C
Chronic Hepatitis B
Interventions
Other: Regression of fibrosis
Other: Specific risk factors related to hepatocellular carcinoma
Registration Number
NCT01831037
Lead Sponsor
University of Arkansas
Brief Summary

This study aims to demonstrate that patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and B (CHB) experiencing regression of liver cirrhosis after effective antiviral therapy have decreased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Primary aim is to determine the incidence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis secondary to CHC and CHB, after treatment is provided, and to identify the magnitude of the decreased risk for HCC in patients experiencing regression of fibrosis. As a secondary aim, environmental risk factors for HCC development will be sought, in order to determine a subset of patients in whom it will be safe to stop surveillance.

Detailed Description

Cirrhosis is the final pathway of chronic liver disease, and up to 30% of patients develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within 5 years of diagnosis of cirrhosis. Worldwide, chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and B (CHB) account for the majority of cases of cirrhosis. Successful antiviral treatment results in regression of fibrosis in the majority of patients. Surveillance programs for early detection of HCC mandate the use of imaging (ultrasound/CT-scan) every 6 months. It has been shown in CHC and CHB that the risk of HCC is greatly reduced after viral disease is eradicated/inactive. However, the impact that regression of fibrosis and other factors could have in abating the incidence of HCC has not been systematically investigated. Currently, all patients with eradicated/inactive viral disease continue to be enrolled in HCC surveillance programs, generating anxiety in patients and very high costs to our healthcare system. Fibrotest (FT) and transient elastography (TE) are noninvasive tools proven to be useful for serial assessment of liver fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES: The proposed hypothesis is that patients with regression of liver fibrosis have decreased risk for HCC. Primary aim is to determine the incidence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis secondary to CHC and CHB, during the 3-7 years after treatment is provided, and to identify the magnitude of the decreased risk for HCC in patients experiencing regression of fibrosis. As a secondary aim, environmental risk factors for HCC development will be sought, in order to determine a subset of patients in whom it will be safe to stop surveillance.

METHODS: Patients 18-70 year-old with cirrhosis will be identified from hepatology clinics in 4 academic centers in North America. FT/TE will be obtained before the start of antivirals and yearly thereafter (prospective arm). A retrolective arm of all patients treated no earlier than Jan/2009 will also be included. In this group, baseline FT/TE will be performed off treatment (CHC) or after initial phase of therapy (CHB), and yearly thereafter. During baseline and yearly visits other factors possibly affecting HCC development will be investigated (family history, comorbidities, BMI, diet, etc.). Patients will be classified as having or having not undergone regression of fibrosis after a 3-year follow up, depending on FT and TE evolution. During follow up, all patients will undergo 6-month imaging as part of their routine HCC surveillance. Based on power calculations, enrollment should stop after 924 patients have been recruited. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models will be used to analyze data.

PATIENT OUTCOMES: ROLFH study uses state-of-the-art noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis to test whether reversed fibrosis decreases the risk of HCC. We believe this study will lead to a better understanding of HCC risk factors, improved patient counseling and decision making, optimized screening and allocation of health resources, and decreased healthcare costs.

Recruitment & Eligibility

Status
WITHDRAWN
Sex
All
Target Recruitment
Not specified
Inclusion Criteria
  • Age 18-70

  • Chronic liver disease due to CHC or CHB.

  • Starting of disease-specific treatment no earlier than January of 2010. Treatment could consist of:

    • combination therapy with peginterferon and ribavirin, with or without a direct-acting viral agent in CHC;
    • single or combination therapy containing peginterferon, entecavir, or tenofovir in CHB.
  • Established cirrhosis on liver biopsy (METAVIR F4) obtained before starting disease-specific treatment.

  • In patients without liver biopsy, any of the following criteria will be used as a surrogate to define cirrhosis:

    • History of spleen >13 cm, bilirubin >2, albumin <3.5, INR >1.5 (2 of 3 criteria).
    • History of APRI ([AST/ULN]/platelets x 100) >2, and esophageal varices or ascites.
    • History of Fibrotest/Fibrosure >0.74, and TE >12.5 kPa (M-probe) or >10 kPa (XL-probe).
Exclusion Criteria
  • Known diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma or portal vein thrombosis
  • Conditions limiting Fibrotest/Fibrosure read: hemolysis, Gilbert's syndrome, autoimmune disease.
  • Conditions limiting TE read: ascites, heart failure with retrograde vascular congestion, extrahepatic cholestasis.
  • Pregnancy or implantable active medical device (such as pacemaker or defibrillator).

Study & Design

Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Study Design
Not specified
Arm && Interventions
GroupInterventionDescription
Regression of fibrosisRegression of fibrosisGroup conformed by patients experiencing improvement in the noninvasive markers of fibrosis, Fibrotest/Fibrosure and transient elastography, while enrolled in the study.
Regression of fibrosisSpecific risk factors related to hepatocellular carcinomaGroup conformed by patients experiencing improvement in the noninvasive markers of fibrosis, Fibrotest/Fibrosure and transient elastography, while enrolled in the study.
Primary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod
Hepatocellular carcinoma3 years

According to standard imaging surveillance protocol, and confirmatory CT/MRI/biopsy

Secondary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod
Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinomaChange from baseline to 3 years

Positive family history of liver cancer, BMI, active/previous smoking, active/previous alcohol consumption, caffeine consumption in diet, diabetes mellitus, use of drugs for chronic medical conditions

Profile with lowest risk for hepatocellular carcinomaChange from baseline to 3 years

Composite of regression of fibrosis plus other specific conditions decreasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma to \<1.5% / year

Trial Locations

Locations (4)

University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences

🇺🇸

Little Rock, Arkansas, United States

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

🇺🇸

Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States

University of Calgary

🇨🇦

Calgary, Alberta, Canada

University of Toronto

🇨🇦

Toronto, Ontario, Canada

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