Development of a Multiplex Precision Medicine System for Early Warning of Progression Toward Shock After Trauma: Non-invasive Measurement During Hepatectomy With Low Central Venous Pressure

Hemorrhagic shock remains a leading cause of death on the battlefield as well in civilian communities. Early detection of ongoing hemorrhage before progression to frank shock would allow early intervention. It is widely appreciated that the classic medical vital signs perform poorly until late in the progression to shock after traumatic injury. Currently available techniques, including intermittent vital sign monitoring, laboratory analysis, and single measurement devices have poor performance before clinically obvious physiologic distress.

The overall goal of this project is to develop a multi-technology noninvasive system for early detection of ongoing hemorrhage. The underlying hypothesis is that deep learning developed algorithms obtaining diagnostic signals from multiple sources will outperform single technology solutions.

While the promise of innovative noninvasive testing has received wide attention, development of effective bedside technologies has thus far been limited and their performance disappointing. In 2014, Kim et al stated that "The results from this meta-analysis found that inaccuracy and imprecision of continuous noninvasive arterial pressure monitoring devices are larger than what was defined as acceptable" and noninvasive blood pressure measurement is among the most fully developed of these technologies. The failure of noninvasive technologies in the detection or diagnosis of complex disease states has been essentially complete. The investigators believe that this failure reflects the limitations of uniplex systems (a single sensor in a single-location) and patient-to-patient variation in physiologic response. Uniplex systems sacrifice the entire diagnostic signal in anatomic-temporal patterns, which likely has significant discriminant power.

To date, technological innovation in early detection of ongoing hemorrhage has been of two broad categories: 1) a search to discover a single new measurement of tissue or organ status or 2) application of more sophisticated mathematical techniques based on machine learning and signal processing.

The investigators propose to develop a system that combines state-of-the-art noninvasive sensing technologies and advanced multivariable statistical algorithms. This system will be developed from its inception to be inexpensive and easily applied, even in austere settings.