Clinical Characteristics Analysis and Prediction Model Establishment of Fatal Esophageal and Gastric Variceal Bleeding
试验速览
- 阶段
- 不适用
- 状态
- 招募中
- 入组人数
- 3,000
- 试验地点
- 1
- 主要终点
- Acute death occurred after admission
研究概览
简要总结
The purpose of this study is to analyze the clinical characteristics of patients with fatal acute variceal bleeding (AVB) and establish a mortality risk prediction model to identify patients at high risk of death after admission, so as to guide clinical practice, further optimize the allocation of emergency resources, and further reduce the mortality of AVB patients.
详细描述
How to predict adverse outcomes of acute variceal bleeding and identify high-risk patients remains unclear. Most studies related to risk factors for adverse outcomes in AVB patients took 5 days and 6 weeks as time nodes, and the main outcome indicators were the rebleeding rate and mortality rate at 5 days and 6 weeks. However, some patients admitted to hospital may suffer death within a short period of time ,the investigators will define AVB patients at high risk of death in several hours after admission as fatal acute variceal bleeding.To identify such patients and give more positive treatment can further reduce the mortality of AVB. Such risk stratification can be used to further guide the rational allocation of emergency resources, improve the efficacy of medical resources. This study intends to retrospectively collect the clinical data of AVB patients in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, analyze the risk factors for death after admission, establish a mortality risk prediction model, and compare and validate the new model and the scoring model to be verified.
研究设计
- 研究类型
- Observational
- 观察模型
- Other
- 时间视角
- Retrospective
入排标准
- 年龄范围
- 18 Years 至 —（Adult, Older Adult）
- 性别
- All
- 接受健康志愿者
- 否
入选标准
- •History of cirrhosis/previous history of endoscopic varicose veins/undiagnosed liver disease but signs related to liver disease, hematemesis or melena; The diagnosis of cirrhosis is based on liver biopsy or the usual clinical and radiological criteria;
- •AVB was confirmed by endoscopy without special medical history;
排除标准
- •Patients who cannot obtain complete data (vital signs, medical history, laboratory tests and other data are seriously missing);
- •Patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding have no evidence of AVB.
结局指标
主要结局
Acute death occurred after admission
时间窗: Six hours after admission
Death in patients with acute varicose bleeding in cirrhosis occurs within a short time (initially defined as less than 6 hours after admission)
次要结局
未报告次要终点
研究者
ChenMingkai
Professor
Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University