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How to Reduce Unnecessary Blood Cultures: Construction and Validation of a Predictive Score for Blood Culture Positivity in Intensive Care

Completed
Conditions
Infection, Fungal
Infection, Bacterial
Bacteremia
Interventions
Other: no intervention
Registration Number
NCT05686577
Lead Sponsor
University Hospital, Tours
Brief Summary

Prospective observational cohort consisting of all adult patients admitted to participating critical care units (ICU and CCU) during the study period, with blood cultures collected as part of their care, and who did not express any objection to participating.

For each patient, data will be collected prospectively for each blood culture set collected.

Detailed Description

Not available

Recruitment & Eligibility

Status
COMPLETED
Sex
All
Target Recruitment
2411
Inclusion Criteria
  • Male or female, age 18 years or older
  • Patient admitted to an ICU or ICU
  • patient with a blood culture sample as part of care
Exclusion Criteria
  • Patient already included in this study during a previous hospitalisation
  • Opposition expressed for participation in the study

Study & Design

Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Study Design
Not specified
Arm && Interventions
GroupInterventionDescription
validation database groupno interventionThe score will be validated on the remaining sample (800 patients), independent of the first sample. Both samples will be constituted by randomization.
learning database groupno interventionThe results of blood cultures and the clinical elements of the patients in the first sample (1600 patients) will constitute the learning database. A supervised learning will be performed on these data in order to select a set of clinical elements allowing to define a predictive score of positive blood cultures
Primary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod
Area under the ROC curve of the predictive performance of the score for predicting bacteremia or fungemia.day 1- day 28
Secondary Outcome Measures
NameTimeMethod
Area under the ROC curve of the diagnostic performance of the Shapiro score for predicting bacteremia or fungemia;day 1- day 28
Area under the ROC curve of the diagnostic performance of body temperature to predict bacteremia or fungemia;day 1- day 28
Comparison of the diagnostic performance of the score in predicting bacteremia or fungemia observed during the first 48 hours of hospitalization to later bacteremias;48 hours
Proportion of bacteremia or fungemia identified by blood cultures in patients on antibiotic therapy and broad-spectrum antibiotic therapy, and factors associated with these bacteremias or fungemias;day 1- day 28
Descriptive study of the contribution of blood cultures, whatever their results, to the prescription of anti-infectives.day 1- day 28
Efficiency of the new predictive score for blood culture positivity in Intensive Care, as compared with body temperature and Shapiro score, measured by two Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios (ICER): ICER (incremental cost per additional well-detecteless than 1 month

A tree decision model will compare three strategies for predicting positive blood cultures: the new predictive score, body temperature and Shapiro score. Within-trial data will be used to define the model parameters. The model will consider the costs related to the implementation of the strategies, blood cultures, and potential delays in patient management. This will result in the estimation of the two ICERs.

Trial Locations

Locations (10)

CHU Brest

🇫🇷

Brest, France

CHU Dijon

🇫🇷

Dijon, France

CHD La Roche sur Yon

🇫🇷

La Roche-sur-Yon, France

CH Le Mans

🇫🇷

Le Mans, France

CHU Nantes

🇫🇷

Nantes, France

CHU Poitiers

🇫🇷

Poitiers, France

CHU Rennes

🇫🇷

Rennes, France

CHR Orléans

🇫🇷

Orléans, France

CHIU Strasbourg

🇫🇷

Strasbourg, France

CHU de Tours

🇫🇷

Tours, France

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